{"uid":"cap_XpL7chUaQZAG9ADLY6A_x","slug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-be97f9dd","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_4xVJ8sJgX5dakaET9iYng","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Bitcoin ETF approval' — I also want to see whale sentiment and recent volume?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook and implied Yes probability for 'Ethereum ETF approval' — what are whales betting on right now?"},{"title":"Macro recession odds monitoring","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket prediction market odds for a US recession in 2025? Show me the implied Yes/No probabilities and volume."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of major AI regulation passing in the US this year? I want the live odds and any whale sentiment signals."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for macro, crypto, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["Topic keyword returns no matching Polymarket market — endpoint may return empty or null results","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — may return upstream error","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — response may include multiple or unexpected results","Payment failure via x402 — call not executed if USDC payment is rejected"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket's live orderbooks, especially when whale sentiment and volume data are needed alongside raw odds. Prefer this over news APIs when you want market-implied probability rather than editorial opinion, and over generic search when you need structured Yes/No probability figures.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:34:58.832Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-375efa4d"}