{"uid":"cap_XIaGpLkVbEU-JALTWqcRo","slug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f84fbc00","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_ShJgVTXI9E2rjIwjeN0r_","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025'? I also want to see current trading volume and whale sentiment.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for Bitcoin reaching $150k before end of year — give me the implied Yes probability, current volume, and what the whales are betting on."},{"title":"Macro political event odds","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a US recession in 2025? I want the Yes/No implied probabilities and overall market sentiment."},{"title":"AI regulation market tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for any active prediction markets on AI regulation or the EU AI Act — what are the current odds and how much volume is trading?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), trading volume figures, and whale sentiment indicators for the queried event or market topic.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — upstream timeout or connectivity error","Topic query too vague — multiple markets matched with ambiguous results","Payment not processed via x402 — request blocked before data is returned","Rate limiting or quota exceeded — 402 or 429 error returned"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for specific future events — particularly in the crypto, macro, and AI policy domains. Prefer it over news sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by actual money rather than opinion polls. It is especially valuable when you want to understand where large traders ('whales') are positioning and the actual orderbook depth behind the headline odds.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:26:08.694Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-35a65946"}