{"uid":"cap_XDtBSwTFMPxgQQG8djmQF","slug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-cfa5051c","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_WPDqjSBSWDXnsOMMQ9-Uq","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI event topic","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now for a US recession in 2025 — give me the implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds for the Republican candidate winning the 2024 US presidential election? I want the implied Yes/No probabilities and trading volume."},{"title":"Crypto event market sentiment","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds for Bitcoin reaching $100k by end of year — I want to see the implied probability and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Geopolitical ceasefire odds","prompt":"What is the current Polymarket-implied probability of a ceasefire agreement in the Russia-Ukraine conflict this quarter? Show me the orderbook odds and volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata for the matching prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Topic string too vague to match a specific Polymarket market","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — upstream timeout","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient — HTTP 402 response","Rate limiting if too many queries are sent in quick succession"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, geopolitical, crypto, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks. Prefer this over news APIs or sentiment tools when you want market-implied probabilities backed by actual financial stakes rather than opinion polls or social sentiment. Best when the user wants a quantified Yes/No probability for a specific future event with volume and whale activity context.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:22:53.913Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-adef025d"}