{"uid":"cap_X4lOoRsY8sSb0n-eDlnGR","slug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-c403abc3","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_I-v82yn9aBQd1ObvXo_Os","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI event topic","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes probability for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — I want the current orderbook sentiment and trading volume too.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a Republican winning the 2026 midterms? Give me the implied Yes/No odds and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Crypto event prediction odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for Bitcoin hitting $150k this year — I want the implied probability, current volume, and how whales are positioned."},{"title":"Macro Fed decision sentiment","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current implied probability that the Fed cuts rates at the next FOMC meeting, and tell me what the orderbook volume looks like right now."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities expressed as percentages, current trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and market metadata for the queried event topic or question.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague or ambiguous — no matching Polymarket market found","Polymarket API upstream outage or rate limit — returns service unavailable error","Market has expired or resolved — returns stale or empty orderbook data","Topic returns multiple markets — may return aggregated or first-matched result only","Payment not processed — HTTP 402 returned before data is served"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket's live orderbooks. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you need quantified, market-implied probabilities with volume and whale positioning data. Best suited for financial agents, forecasting workflows, or decision-support systems that require live prediction market signals rather than qualitative news summaries.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T00:36:56.491Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f961a087"}