{"uid":"cap_X0feKZJXzlr-Z96uTrMD6","slug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-19ca3ee5","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_fdsZNgMlC4B-bi4iE559q","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Will the Fed cut rates in September 2025'? Include volume and any whale sentiment signals.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Live election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket prediction market odds for the 2024 US presidential election — I want the implied Yes and No probabilities plus volume and any big-money whale sentiment."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory event odds","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds that Bitcoin spot ETF gets approved this year? Give me the orderbook-implied probabilities and how much volume is behind this market."},{"title":"AI event market sentiment tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for any active prediction markets on AGI or major AI regulation events — I want the implied probability, volume, and whether whales are leaning Yes or No."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live orderbook data for the matched Polymarket market(s), including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the specified topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null result","Topic keyword too vague, returns multiple unrelated markets","Market may be resolved/closed, returning stale or terminal data","Payment required (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment is not fulfilled","Rate limiting if called too frequently without valid payment credentials","Orderbook data may have slight latency during high-volatility events"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for specific macro, crypto, political, or AI events as priced on Polymarket. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by actual money and orderbook depth, rather than opinion or social sentiment. Especially useful when whale positioning or volume context is needed alongside raw odds.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:26:22.060Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-e22ddf45"}