{"uid":"cap_X0FBRjjTzsJT0V52BcGO3","slug":"whale-momentum-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-6872f912","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://whale-momentum.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://whale-momentum.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_kLCuyNoOUZlb2x5_fagY9","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"whale-momentum.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"whale-momentum-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://whale-momentum.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for Bitcoin reaching $100k by end of year — including whale sentiment and trading volume?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election odds monitoring for political analyst","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for the 2024 US presidential election — I want to see current Yes/No percentages and what the whales are betting on."},{"title":"Crypto event probability for trading strategy","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket-implied probability that the Ethereum ETF gets approved this quarter? Give me the orderbook odds and volume too."},{"title":"Macro risk assessment for portfolio manager","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the implied probability of a US recession in 2025 — I need the Yes/No odds and any notable whale activity on that market."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals indicating how large traders are positioned on the outcome.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague — no matching Polymarket market found, returns empty or error response","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream data fetch fails","Topic string too short or malformed — validation error","Market exists but has very low liquidity — probabilities may be unreliable or missing","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — call blocked if x402 payment not included"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market for macro, crypto, political, or AI events — especially when you want implied market odds rather than analyst forecasts, and when whale sentiment and orderbook depth are relevant to the decision.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:43.863Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"whale-momentum-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-363615d3"}