{"uid":"cap_Ws5uJNa_kC2z5_uUTNXHl","slug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-709f4e9a","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds)","url":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_pR6B5tnXjEjRAwIhMsiL5","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probability for the US entering a recession in 2025 — include volume and whale sentiment if available?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability tracking","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of Bitcoin crossing $150k before the end of 2025? Include volume and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Macro policy market monitoring","prompt":"Can you pull the live Polymarket odds on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting, including the Yes/No probabilities and how much has been traded?"},{"title":"AI milestone prediction lookup","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds on GPT-5 being released before Q3 2025? Show me the implied probability and any notable whale activity on that market."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API or orderbook data unavailable due to upstream outage","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — returns results for all or the most relevant","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — request rejected before data is fetched","Rate limiting or quota exceeded for the calling agent"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as priced by Polymarket traders. It is ideal when you want market-implied odds rather than model-generated forecasts, especially when whale sentiment and trading volume context are relevant. Prefer this over general news search when you need a quantified probability signal, or over on-chain data tools when the question is about event outcomes rather than token prices.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:24:16.129Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-35a65946"}