{"uid":"cap_WLNZCZdzJG1er7DtIuOtJ","slug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-50a6868d","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_8hjbKyd-IokjbT3ea0xJQ","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"domain-osint.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI prediction market event","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied probability for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — pull the Yes/No probabilities and whale sentiment.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the probability of the Republican candidate winning the 2026 midterms? Give me the Yes/No odds and trading volume."},{"title":"Crypto event prediction odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether Bitcoin will hit $150k by end of 2025 — I want the implied Yes probability and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Macro policy market sentiment","prompt":"What are traders betting on Polymarket for the next Fed rate cut — show me the current implied probability and volume for the 'Fed cuts rates in Q3 2025' market."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic including implied Yes and No probabilities, market trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event or question.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the queried topic — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API upstream unavailable — service may return error or stale data","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — response may include multiple or incorrect markets","Payment not processed — x402 payment required before data is returned"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market platform, especially when whale sentiment and orderbook depth context are needed alongside raw probabilities. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities rather than news headlines or social sentiment scores.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:22:41.048Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-db725fb9"}