{"uid":"cap_WG3H68yUoJ_ZDdJ4zadoq","slug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-15c51795","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed)","url":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_cpaYaFb4V47Pg8D9YHXFQ","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given event or topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for the US entering a recession in 2025, including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull up the live Polymarket odds for who wins the 2024 US presidential election — I want to see the Yes/No probabilities and current trading volume."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory event monitoring","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability that a spot Bitcoin ETF gets approved this year? Give me the implied odds, volume, and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Macro event probability for trading research","prompt":"Check the live Polymarket orderbook for a Fed rate cut in Q1 2025 — I need the implied Yes/No probabilities and how much volume is behind it."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket market data for the queried topic, including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current orderbook state, cumulative trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment indicators for relevant prediction market events matching the keyword.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty results or error","Polymarket API upstream outage causing stale or missing data","Ambiguous topic matches multiple unrelated markets — may return mixed results","Payment required (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment header is missing or invalid","Rate limiting if too many queries are issued in rapid succession"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as priced on Polymarket's decentralized prediction market. Prefer it over news APIs when you want market-implied probabilities rather than narrative reporting, or over static odds providers when you need live orderbook depth and whale sentiment. Ideal for research agents, trading bots, and decision-support tools that need calibrated probabilistic forecasts backed by real money.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:54.019Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-e22ddf45"}