{"uid":"cap_WE12rdJgjMQYBdASCKuo5","slug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-229bc794","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Mq0yieSgPuuX4FEzhtACN","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"domain-osint.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for the US entering a recession in 2025 — and is there any notable whale activity on that market?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto regulatory outcome monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the implied probability that spot Ethereum ETFs get approved this quarter — I want the Yes/No odds and any volume spikes."},{"title":"Election prediction market research","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for the 2026 US midterm elections and tell me which outcomes are showing the most whale buying activity."},{"title":"AI event probability tracking","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently think is the probability of GPT-5 being released before the end of this year? Give me the implied Yes probability and the trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, market volume, and whale/large-player sentiment signals for relevant prediction market contracts matching the input keyword or question.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null market data","Polymarket API or upstream data source unavailable — endpoint may time out or return an error","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple unrelated markets — response may include irrelevant markets","Payment required (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment header is not included or USDC balance is insufficient","Stale data if Polymarket orderbook has low liquidity for the queried market"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI-related events sourced directly from Polymarket orderbooks. It is ideal for agents that need to quantify market consensus on binary outcomes (Yes/No), monitor whale sentiment, or compare implied probabilities against other forecasting sources. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you want financial-market-calibrated probability rather than qualitative opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:02.051Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-db725fb9"}