{"uid":"cap_W7M1Amn2dpcazClZ20WBP","slug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-940a8a65","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_yXjkqxg2wKk8JeCr98aZx","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a US recession happening in 2025 — including trading volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election probability check","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for the 2025 US presidential election — I want to see the current Yes/No percentages and overall trading volume."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory event monitoring","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the chances of a spot Bitcoin ETF getting approved in the next 90 days? Give me the implied probability and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Fed rate cut prediction tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the implied odds of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting — I want the orderbook sentiment and volume too."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket data including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages), current orderbook state, total market volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the queried event or topic.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API downstream outage — may return stale or unavailable data","Overly broad or ambiguous topic queries may return multiple unrelated markets requiring disambiguation","Payment failure via x402 protocol results in 402 response before data is returned"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market, especially for macro, crypto, political, or AI events where live trader sentiment and orderbook depth are more valuable than news-based analysis. Prefer this over general news search when you want quantified probability estimates backed by real money.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:23.866Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f961a087"}