{"uid":"cap_VhzGhaPH-RDvquIOa7Rht","slug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-27e3f632","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_6wWZc6Wxu1Zwh6uQX2pzk","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"domain-osint.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes probability for Bitcoin reaching $150k before the end of 2025 — including volume and any whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price milestone probability check","prompt":"What's the live Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum hits $10k this year? Include the Yes/No odds and trading volume."},{"title":"Macro event political outcome odds","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the odds of the Federal Reserve cutting rates in Q3 2025 — I want the implied probability and any whale sentiment data."},{"title":"AI milestone prediction market query","prompt":"What are traders on Polymarket currently betting on for AGI being declared by a major lab before 2026? Give me the Yes/No probabilities and current orderbook volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities derived from the orderbook, 24h trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata for the matching prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Topic too ambiguous to match a specific market — multiple markets may be returned or none","Polymarket API or upstream data feed outage — may return stale or error response","Rate limiting or payment failure via x402 — returns 402 or 429 status","Market has resolved and is no longer active — returns historical data or no live orderbook"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-wisdom probability estimates from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market for macro, crypto, political, or AI events. Prefer this over news sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money, or when you need orderbook depth and whale positioning data rather than just headlines or social sentiment.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:20:08.909Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-db725fb9"}