{"uid":"cap_VG_23TKtbin0RogmlrJL6","slug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d24a597a","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Jej7HlbvUUA_m9oNCuBnO","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the US Federal Reserve cutting rates before the end of the year — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Live election odds for trading desk","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket implied probabilities for the 2024 US presidential election — I want Yes/No odds, total volume, and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Crypto ETF approval probability check","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds that a spot Bitcoin ETF gets approved in the next 90 days? Give me the implied Yes probability and current orderbook volume."},{"title":"AI regulation market sentiment","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active prediction markets around AI regulation or legislation passing — I want implied probabilities and whale sentiment right now."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), 24h trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null market data","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return multiple or unexpected markets","Polymarket API downtime or rate limiting causing stale or missing data","Topic too broad results in irrelevant market matches","Payment failure via x402 causes 402 response with no data returned"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, political, crypto, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket's live orderbooks. It is superior to news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities with volume and whale positioning. Prefer this over generic news APIs when you need quantified probability signals rather than qualitative coverage.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:48:21.751Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8cd613ff"}