{"uid":"cap_UxXTekKC6Wts3emwAq-3O","slug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-a1fc455b","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_LOEU_APReHD3j1fIy2y0D","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches real-time Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for the FOMC rate cut at the next Fed meeting — including volume and how whales are positioned?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Fed rate decision probability check","prompt":"Pull up the live Polymarket odds for a Fed rate cut at the next FOMC meeting — I want to see the implied Yes/No probabilities and how much volume is behind it."},{"title":"Crypto event market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of Bitcoin reaching $150k before end of year? Include whale sentiment and trading volume."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active markets on US AI regulation passing in 2025 — give me the current implied probabilities and overall market sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators reflecting large-position activity.","failureModes":["No active Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or first-match data","Polymarket API upstream unavailability — may result in stale or error response","Payment failure via x402 — HTTP 402 returned if USDC micropayment not completed","Overly broad or vague topic input yields low-confidence or irrelevant market data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket specifically — especially when you want orderbook-level data including whale positioning and volume, rather than just headline odds. Prefer this over generic news or sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:05.370Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5ffd4a29"}