{"uid":"cap_Uw0us6J_PeD4Odx9oyuAs","slug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b64d8dd7","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_wUfPqsLM6JQw9V5KpdsnF","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-security.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds on whether the Fed will cut rates in September? Pull the Yes/No probabilities, volume, and any whale sentiment signal for that market.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the chances of Bitcoin reaching $150k before the end of 2025? Give me the implied Yes probability and current volume."},{"title":"Election outcome odds monitoring","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for the 2024 US presidential election — I want to see the current Yes/No probabilities and whether whales are leaning one way."},{"title":"AI milestone market sentiment","prompt":"What's the prediction market saying about OpenAI releasing GPT-5 this year? Fetch the Polymarket implied probability and any orderbook pressure signals."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total market volume, and whale sentiment indicators derived from large-order activity.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null results","Topic query too vague to resolve to a specific market","Polymarket API upstream unavailable causing stale or missing data","Payment not completed (HTTP 402) — endpoint requires $0.01 USDC per call via x402","Rate limiting or throttling if called in rapid succession"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket specifically — including orderbook depth and whale sentiment signals that simple price feeds don't provide. Prefer this over general news search when you want quantified market consensus rather than qualitative commentary.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:17.303Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-aed57b37"}