{"uid":"cap_UnigH37sqdfz_XNknFK7j","slug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-4c21a329","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed)","url":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_WsKGfj3twxiEJ8AGFLWtX","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probability that the Fed cuts interest rates before the end of 2025 — and is there any notable whale sentiment skewing the market?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on Ethereum hitting $5,000 by end of year — I want the implied Yes/No probabilities and current trading volume."},{"title":"Political election odds lookup","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of a Democratic candidate winning the 2026 midterm Senate majority?"},{"title":"AI milestone market sentiment","prompt":"Check the live Polymarket orderbook for any markets on OpenAI releasing GPT-5 this year and tell me the current implied probability and whether whales are leaning Yes or No."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the queried prediction market topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API unavailability causes stale or missing data","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets, returning mixed or unexpected results","Payment required (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment header is missing or invalid","Rate limiting if too many requests are made in a short window"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events, particularly when you want market-implied odds rather than analyst forecasts. It is ideal for agents that need to ground decisions or reports in live prediction market data from Polymarket, including volume and large-trader (whale) sentiment signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:30:30.059Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-3dbe38ae"}