{"uid":"cap_UWLfgP7gLo2GK2V_DMs4T","slug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-0c64dc7f","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"limit":{"type":"integer","default":20,"maximum":100,"minimum":1,"description":"Maximum number of items to return per page (1-100)"},"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"},"cursor":{"type":"string","description":"Opaque pagination cursor for fetching the next page"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_ytxv9ow2Bazqk_Fvj73Ev","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Fed rate cut in 2025' — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the odds of Bitcoin reaching $100k by end of year? Give me the implied Yes/No probabilities and how much volume is behind it."},{"title":"Macro policy sentiment monitoring","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for a US recession happening in 2025 — I want to see the implied probability and whether whales are leaning Yes or No."},{"title":"AI regulation event tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active markets on AI regulation or a major AI company IPO and tell me the current implied probabilities and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the topic — returns empty or low-confidence results","Polymarket API or data feed downtime — upstream data unavailable","Ambiguous topic resolves to multiple markets — may return first match or require refinement","Payment not completed (HTTP 402) — call blocked if x402 payment flow not handled","Rate limiting or quota exceeded — repeated calls may be throttled"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction markets for macro, crypto, or AI events, especially when you want implied Yes/No odds, orderbook depth, volume, and whale positioning in a single structured response. Prefer this over static news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-priced probabilities backed by real money.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:20:08.906Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-375efa4d"}