{"uid":"cap_UNmjPt317PjMPCQ-MiQ53","slug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d663322f","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_SX6i6DNwcOamxkVQIfWiY","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability right now for 'Fed rate cut in 2025' — including trading volume and whether whales are leaning yes or no?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for 'Bitcoin reaching $100K by end of year' — I want the implied yes probability, current volume, and whale sentiment."},{"title":"Election outcome market tracker","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket implied probabilities right now for the 2024 US presidential election? Show me Yes/No odds and how much volume is trading on it."},{"title":"Macro policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active markets on a US recession in 2025 — I want the current implied probability and whether big traders are leaning yes or no."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — may return multiple or incorrect markets","Stale data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable or rate-limited","Payment failure via x402 protocol results in 402 response before data is returned","Very niche or recently created markets may have low liquidity or missing orderbook data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market for macro, crypto, AI, or geopolitical events — especially when you want market-implied odds rather than model forecasts or news sentiment. Ideal for agents that need live Yes/No probability percentages, volume data, and whale sentiment signals in a single call without building a Polymarket API integration from scratch.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:20:26.731Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e396ef40"}