{"uid":"cap_UJyP_BelvXSEXpBx3uiN4","slug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5f6ec47a","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds)","url":"https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_lniLdSNlw0wXUkHiMtUta","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied yes/no probability for Bitcoin ETF approval this quarter — including volume and what the whale traders are doing?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum flips Bitcoin in market cap this year? Show me the yes/no odds and any whale sentiment."},{"title":"Macro recession prediction market","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on a US recession happening in 2025 — I want to see the implied probability and trading volume."},{"title":"AI regulation market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the odds of a major US AI regulation bill passing this year? Include the orderbook sentiment and volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket data for the queried topic including implied Yes/No probabilities as percentages, orderbook snapshot, cumulative trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for the matched prediction market.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null result","Topic string too vague to match a specific market — may return multiple or unrelated markets","Market may be resolved/closed — data reflects final settlement rather than live odds","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient — HTTP 402 returned","Rate limiting or upstream Polymarket API downtime causing stale or missing data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need live, real-time implied probabilities and crowd wisdom from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks for crypto, macro, political, or AI events. Prefer this over news sentiment or social media analysis when you want market-priced probability estimates backed by actual money. Best for quantitative agents that need a numeric probability estimate rather than qualitative sentiment.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:19.747Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ad90764f"}