{"uid":"cap_UJV36HomG0sB6U9Mp8zcs","slug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-2182052d","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_8aFFutWVDSXBjdgEqgJCO","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability right now for 'Will the Fed cut rates in September?' — pull the orderbook data and whale sentiment too.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Bitcoin will hit $150k by end of year? Show me the Yes/No odds and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"Geopolitical risk market sentiment","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket prediction market odds for a US-China conflict or Taiwan invasion in the next 12 months — I want the implied probabilities and trading volume."},{"title":"Fed policy decision odds","prompt":"What's Polymarket currently pricing for the probability of a Fed rate cut in November? Give me the orderbook sentiment and Yes/No implied odds."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live orderbook data from Polymarket for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, trading volume metrics, and whale sentiment signals for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or low-confidence results","Stale data if Polymarket API is delayed or rate-limited upstream","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple markets — may return the wrong market","Payment failure via x402 protocol results in 402 response and no data returned","Broad or vague topic queries may return aggregated or irrelevant markets"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need live, real-time prediction market probabilities from Polymarket specifically — particularly for macro events, crypto price milestones, geopolitical outcomes, AI regulation, or Fed policy decisions. Prefer this over general news sentiment APIs when you want crowd-sourced, financially-backed probability estimates rather than media tone analysis. Best when the user wants a quantified implied probability (e.g. '73% Yes') rather than qualitative sentiment.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:36:43.332Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-375efa4d"}