{"uid":"cap_TsDY-Buhg30kCD8t8mjRl","slug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f9dda59b","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_1vq-29MdDlqhsJTD1fj1o","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic","exampleAgentPrompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a Fed rate cut in 2025 — give me the live Yes/No odds, volume, and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event odds for trading decisions","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the implied probability of a Bitcoin ETF approval — I want the Yes/No odds and how much volume is behind the market."},{"title":"Election outcome probability tracking","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds for the next US presidential election winner? Give me the Yes/No probabilities and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Macro risk assessment for portfolio","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket prediction market data on the probability of a US recession happening in 2025 — I need the implied probability and orderbook sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data including implied Yes/No probabilities, orderbook depth, 24h trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried event topic, enabling agents to gauge crowd-sourced market consensus on future outcomes.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague returns no matching market or empty results","Polymarket market not found for niche or obscure event topics","Payment failure via x402 protocol results in 402 response blocking data access","Rate limiting or upstream Polymarket API downtime causes delayed or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets, returning mixed or aggregated results"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as reflected in actual money markets rather than polls or analyst forecasts. It is especially useful when whale sentiment and orderbook depth are needed alongside implied probabilities, and when the question maps naturally to a Polymarket prediction market. Prefer this over general news APIs when you need quantified probability rather than narrative, and over static data sources when you need live, continuously updated market consensus.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:48:21.749Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8cd613ff"}