{"uid":"cap_TiFIkKWtGdy79QqLoDJWa","slug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8ca3e30e","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds)","url":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_4kOdTU0_9bdfCXPB579Dt","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probability for the Fed cutting interest rates before the end of Q3? I want to see volume and whale sentiment too.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether Bitcoin will hit $150k before the end of 2025 — I want the Yes/No implied probabilities and how much volume is trading on it."},{"title":"Macro policy sentiment tracking","prompt":"What is Polymarket currently pricing in for the probability of a US recession being declared this year? Show me orderbook sentiment and whale activity."},{"title":"AI milestone prediction lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active markets on GPT-5 or AGI being announced in 2025 — what are the current implied probabilities and trading volumes?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), market trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators showing how large traders are positioned on the event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API upstream outage causing stale or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple unrelated markets","Payment required (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment header is not included","Rate limiting if called too frequently without valid payment credentials"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for specific future events — especially macro, crypto, or AI milestones — and want market-derived implied probabilities rather than analyst forecasts. Prefer this over news sentiment APIs when you want quantified, financially-staked probability signals and volume/whale data from Polymarket's decentralized orderbook.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:16.729Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5eb33d8e"}