{"uid":"cap_ThfcpstWtkW-cdTYDCYpA","slug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b3772fe5","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-odds)","url":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_wCg_uue05q1cNCILdFzDk","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025? Also show me whale sentiment and recent volume.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability for the Republican candidate winning the 2026 US midterms? I want the Yes/No split and any whale sentiment data."},{"title":"Crypto ETF approval odds","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket odds on a Solana spot ETF being approved this year — give me the implied probability, volume, and how big traders are positioned."},{"title":"Fed rate cut market sentiment","prompt":"What's Polymarket currently pricing in for a Federal Reserve rate cut at the next FOMC meeting? Show me the live Yes/No probabilities and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), 24h or total trading volume, whale/large-trader sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata for the queried event or topic.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API unavailability or rate limiting causing stale or failed data fetch","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple markets with conflicting results","Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 response before data is returned","Highly niche topics with no active market returning zero volume or no orderbook"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as priced by Polymarket traders. Ideal when you want market-implied probabilities rather than model-generated forecasts, and when whale sentiment or trading volume context is needed alongside raw odds. Prefer this over news APIs or sentiment scrapers when you want financially-weighted, skin-in-the-game probability signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:36:32.833Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-35a65946"}