{"uid":"cap_Tb9BUGq6kGeFjl31S5kAi","slug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-7dec81f0","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_8lj_CABqxo3K-v7QNyA1D","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the FOMC cutting interest rates at the next meeting — include volume and whale sentiment if available?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"FOMC rate decision probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that the Fed will cut rates at the next FOMC meeting? I want the Yes/No odds, current volume, and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Crypto price milestone market odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on Bitcoin hitting $150k before end of year — give me the implied probability and how much volume is behind it."},{"title":"AI regulation event sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of major US AI regulation passing this year? I want the live odds and any big-money sentiment you can see in the orderbook."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current market volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or no-match result","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream error propagated","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — may return aggregate or first match","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — endpoint requires $0.01 USDC per call","Stale or illiquid markets may return low-confidence probabilities with thin orderbooks"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market data, including orderbook depth and whale sentiment — particularly when you want implied probabilities rather than analyst forecasts or news summaries.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T00:32:47.141Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8cd613ff"}