{"uid":"cap_TZ_1tb8qwfHACEq3ebzH-","slug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-26c9bde8","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Zb9xO-WipDehUBFOPbUUj","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"domain-osint.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given prediction market topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin hitting $150k by end of 2025, including current volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket implied probabilities for the Republican candidate winning the 2026 midterm elections, and what's the whale sentiment right now?"},{"title":"Crypto milestone prediction odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook and Yes/No probabilities for Ethereum flipping Bitcoin in market cap this year — include the current volume."},{"title":"Macro event probability monitoring","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the odds of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates before Q3 2025? Give me the implied probability and any large-order sentiment signals."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a JSON object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, total market volume, and whale sentiment indicators derived from large-order activity.","failureModes":["Topic not found on Polymarket — returns empty or null results if no matching market exists","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return unexpected or blended results","Stale data if Polymarket API is temporarily throttled or unavailable","Payment failure (HTTP 402) if USDC balance is insufficient for the per-call fee","Rate limiting if too many queries are submitted in rapid succession"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need live, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI-related events sourced directly from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks. It is particularly useful when you need implied probability alongside volume and whale sentiment signals, rather than just a headline probability figure. Prefer this over news-based or model-based forecasts when you want market-priced consensus.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:19:58.480Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-db725fb9"}