{"uid":"cap_TGqnq9XnC-UeCbKjnCQH_","slug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-3bbabc6d","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds)","url":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_T2opMsjkRnzqC9MH6n0yO","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic keyword or question.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — include volume and whale sentiment if available.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability for the Republican candidate winning the 2024 US presidential election? Give me the Yes/No odds and any volume data."},{"title":"Crypto event prediction odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by end of year — I want the implied probability and whale sentiment."},{"title":"AI milestone market monitoring","prompt":"What are traders betting on Polymarket for whether GPT-5 will be released before 2026? Show me the current Yes probability and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Stale or unavailable orderbook data if Polymarket API is temporarily down","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple unrelated markets — results may include irrelevant markets","Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 response and no data returned","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion returning an error response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-implied probabilities and market sentiment from Polymarket for macro, crypto, political, or AI events — particularly when you want orderbook depth and whale activity rather than just a headline probability. Prefer this over static news or sentiment APIs when quantitative market-based probability estimates are needed for decision support.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:50.051Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-e22ddf45"}