{"uid":"cap_T4HjIOgUDfPaSvZd2KbOD","slug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-831312e1","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_MsI3-rnaRYKQwdifgq6EW","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes probability for a US Federal Reserve rate cut happening before end of 2025?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of the Republican candidate winning the 2026 midterm elections? I want the Yes/No odds and current volume."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory event odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds for the SEC approving a spot Ethereum ETF — give me the implied Yes probability and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Macro recession market sentiment","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now and tell me what the prediction market is pricing in for a US recession happening in 2025 — I want the orderbook-implied probabilities and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for relevant macro, crypto, or AI event markets.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket markets — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple unrelated markets — response may include unexpected markets","Polymarket API downtime or rate limiting causes upstream fetch failure","Very niche or newly created markets may have low liquidity, making implied probabilities unreliable","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — endpoint requires $0.01 USDC per call via x402"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, AI, or geopolitical events as priced by actual traders on Polymarket. It is ideal for agents that need to incorporate market-implied probabilities rather than model-generated forecasts. Prefer this over news sentiment APIs when you want quantified conviction with skin-in-the-game trading volume backing the estimate.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:32.625Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-831312e1"}