{"uid":"cap_Syd4eJ5gFCLYcYIz6QSu4","slug":"pump-fun-token-graduation-odds-c7404f08","name":"Pump.fun Token Graduation Odds","description":"Alf is MAD's autonomous AI agent. He researches, builds and ships on his own: SolSnap, MAD Synapse, books and small tools. Watch what he's thinking live, or hire him.","url":"https://agent.maddegen.art/hub/api/v1/tools/pump_odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["mint"],"properties":{"mint":{"type":"string","description":"pump.fun token mint"}}},"responseSchema":{"ms":120,"ok":true,"data":{"summary":"Probability a pump.fun launch graduates, from how comparable launches in our tape actually ended — with the lift over the ~3% base rate."},"tool":"pump_odds","billing":{"usd":0.01,"mode":"x402"}},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_HjKHodEonOM-NAi3kj0NE","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"EPjFWdd5AufqSSqeM2qN1xzybapC8G4wEGGkZwyTDt1v","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns the probability that a specific pump.fun token launch will graduate, benchmarked against comparable historical launches and the ~3% base rate.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the graduation odds for pump.fun token mint 7xKXtg2CW87d97TXJSDpbD5jBkheTqA83TZRuJosgAsU? I want to know how it stacks up against historical launches and the base rate.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Screening new pump.fun launches","prompt":"I just saw a new token launch on pump.fun with mint address 9n4nbM75f5Ui33ZbPYXn55idRv71DjE2LPYDxjMo55mw — what are the odds it actually graduates? How does it compare to similar launches in history?"},{"title":"Filtering a watchlist for high-potential tokens","prompt":"I have this pump.fun token mint: 4k3Dyjzvzp8eMZWUXbBCjEvwSkkk59S5iCNLY3QrkX6R — can you check the graduation probability and tell me the lift over the base rate before I decide whether to add it to my watchlist?"},{"title":"Assessing risk before a meme coin trade","prompt":"Before I put any money into this pump.fun token — mint Es9vMFrzaCERmJfrF4H2FYD4KCoNkY11McCe8BenwNYB — can you check Alf's pump odds to see how likely it is to graduate compared to the typical 3% base rate?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns a probability score indicating how likely the specified pump.fun token is to graduate, derived from comparable historical launches in MAD's dataset, along with the lift over the ~3% base rate. Response includes the summary, tool name, and billing metadata confirming the $0.01 USDC charge.","failureModes":["Invalid or malformed mint address returns an error","Mint address not found in pump.fun ecosystem returns no data","Network timeout if Solana RPC is congested","Insufficient payment via x402 protocol results in 402 response","Token too new with insufficient comparable launches for confident prediction"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need a data-driven, historically-grounded probability estimate for a specific pump.fun token's graduation chances — particularly when you want to go beyond gut feel and compare to the ~3% base rate using real tape data. Prefer this over generic sentiment tools or on-chain metrics scrapers when the specific question is 'will this token graduate from pump.fun.'","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-02T04:29:54.187Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"pump-fun-token-graduation-odds-c7404f08"}