{"uid":"cap_StxxfiY2JvtyxzBFsErY8","slug":"x402broker-com-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-bf087ba2","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402broker.com/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://x402broker.com/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm__E2vEu7JtMaaQU4s2DD9D","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402broker.com","brandSlug":"x402broker-com-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402broker.com","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events given a topic or question.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probability right now for the US entering a recession in 2025 — include volume and whale sentiment if available?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently give as the odds for a spot Ethereum ETF being approved this year? Show me the Yes/No probabilities and any whale positioning."},{"title":"Election outcome market odds","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket prediction market odds on who wins the 2024 US presidential election — I want the implied probabilities and current trading volume."},{"title":"Fed rate cut market sentiment","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting and tell me what the whales are betting on."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook snapshot including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, whale sentiment signals, and relevant market metadata for the queried topic or event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — timeout or upstream error","Topic query too vague or ambiguous — returns multiple loosely matched markets without clear answer","Payment required or x402 authorization fails — HTTP 402 response with payment details","Market has resolved or expired — returns stale or closed market data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, political, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market. It is ideal when you want implied probabilities backed by real money rather than polls or model forecasts, and when whale orderflow sentiment adds trading-informed context. Prefer this over general news search when you need a specific numerical probability estimate for a binary event outcome.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:34:42.951Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-probability-feed-42c8334c"}