{"uid":"cap_SnP2T9GFz891g714JnGMU","slug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-16cba339","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds)","url":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_S4bBUyPHzCOsgnJWdHqzF","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities right now for a US Bitcoin spot ETF approval — and what is the whale sentiment leaning toward?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto ETF approval probability check","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket implied Yes/No probabilities and trading volume for a Bitcoin spot ETF approval in the US?"},{"title":"Election outcome market sentiment","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket odds on the 2026 US midterm elections — I want to see the implied probabilities and whether whales are leaning yes or no."},{"title":"Fed rate cut macro event odds","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the implied probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in Q3 2025 — what are traders pricing in and what does whale activity look like?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals — all structured for direct agent consumption.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Topic query too vague — multiple unrelated markets may be returned with ambiguous probabilities","Polymarket API or orderbook feed temporarily unavailable — upstream data outage","Payment failure (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment is not correctly processed","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion resulting in request rejection"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events — especially when you want both orderbook-level data and whale sentiment in a single call, rather than scraping Polymarket directly or using a generic search tool.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:26:24.378Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1f4a176d"}