{"uid":"cap_SXwKjeZNpYjsJYLCNLwK9","slug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-063abc1d","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds)","url":"https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.010000/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.010000","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.010000","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_r3AqM4q6yikIbyDzfKvxa","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.010000","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":null,"unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"llms-generator.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for prediction market topics covering macro, crypto, and AI events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $150k this year — and is there any notable whale activity or volume I should know about?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for the 2026 US midterm elections and tell me what the implied probabilities are for each party controlling the Senate."},{"title":"Crypto event market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the odds of an Ethereum spot ETF getting approved in the next 6 months — including volume and whether whales are leaning Yes or No?"},{"title":"Macro recession prediction tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for any active markets about a US recession in 2025 and give me the latest implied probabilities and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket prediction market data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities derived from orderbook prices, 24-hour trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators showing how large traders are positioned.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream fetch failure","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple unrelated markets — may return unexpected results","Very new or niche markets may have thin orderbooks and unreliable implied probabilities","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for binary events (macro, crypto, AI, political) rather than analyst forecasts or news sentiment. It is specifically grounded in Polymarket's decentralized orderbook, making it ideal for agents that need market-implied probabilities with volume and whale positioning context rather than simple news or price data.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-22T07:52:11.857Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-9c5c136c"}