{"uid":"cap_SRQHbl6mFj-8nKEbbPr12","slug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ac5664f0","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_qEu-0_PU2xdvfksrd2-DV","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability right now for Bitcoin hitting $150k before end of 2025 — and is there any whale activity or volume worth noting?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Fed rate cut probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting? Show me the implied Yes/No odds and any notable trading volume."},{"title":"Election outcome sentiment monitoring","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for the 2026 US midterm elections — I want to see the implied probabilities and whether whales are leaning Yes or No."},{"title":"AI regulation event tracking","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket prediction market odds that the EU AI Act enforcement leads to a major tech fine in 2025? Give me the implied probability and volume data."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for macro, crypto, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or partial data","Stale data if Polymarket orderbook API is temporarily unavailable","Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 response before data is returned","Rate limiting if too many queries are fired in rapid succession"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's liquid prediction markets, especially when you want implied Yes/No odds, volume context, and whale sentiment rather than generic news sentiment or analyst forecasts.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:48:27.754Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1f4a176d"}