{"uid":"cap_SMoINWpUvrCg2vOgLSvlJ","slug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1d73882b","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_6ptirSK1K-rveyQP89th6","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI prediction market topic","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds on whether the Fed will cut rates at the next FOMC meeting? Pull the live Yes/No implied probabilities and volume.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"FOMC rate decision probability check","prompt":"What is Polymarket currently pricing in for a Fed rate cut at this month's FOMC meeting? I want the live Yes/No odds and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"Crypto event prediction market tracking","prompt":"Can you pull the live Polymarket odds on whether Bitcoin will hit $100k by end of year? I want the implied probability and current trading volume."},{"title":"Political event odds monitoring","prompt":"What are prediction market traders betting on for the next US election outcome? Grab the current Polymarket implied probabilities for the main candidates."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, bid/ask spread data, and whale sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or error response","Topic string too vague, resulting in ambiguous or incorrect market match","Polymarket API upstream outage causing stale or unavailable data","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) when x402 micropayment is not properly handled","Rate limiting if called too frequently without proper payment headers"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket specifically — particularly when you want implied odds, volume signals, and large-trader (whale) sentiment rather than news sentiment or model-derived forecasts. Prefer this over generic news or sentiment APIs when you need a market-derived probability number for a specific yes/no outcome.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:22:40.641Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-831312e1"}