{"uid":"cap_SMXtlJC_YvWFYL1Vpvqfs","slug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d091a9e1","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_rLZNt_eZh6CnKO1DVK8Nv","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin hitting $100k by end of year — including trading volume and any whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election odds for political forecasting","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for the 2024 US presidential election winner — I want to see Yes/No probabilities and current volume."},{"title":"Crypto event probability tracking","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a spot Ethereum ETF getting approved this quarter? Give me the implied odds and whale sentiment."},{"title":"Macro recession probability check","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the implied probability of a US recession in 2025 — I want the Yes/No odds and how much volume is behind it."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities, total trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried event topic. The response reflects real-time crowd-sourced forecasts from active market participants.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API downtime causing stale or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple markets simultaneously","Payment failure (HTTP 402) if x402 USDC balance is insufficient","Rate limiting or timeout on high-traffic market queries"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's active prediction markets, especially for macro events, elections, crypto milestones, or AI policy outcomes. It is preferable over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real financial stakes and whale-level volume signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:30:46.247Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f961a087"}