{"uid":"cap_SAm_nPsSaRwgBHIXCoJFr","slug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-6e6424a8","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-odds)","url":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_YX6P0q10VTmqCqjKk4vfH","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for Bitcoin ETF approval this year — including volume and what the whales are betting?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, and are whales leaning yes or no?"},{"title":"Crypto milestone prediction odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for Ethereum reaching $5,000 this year — I want the Yes/No probabilities and trading volume."},{"title":"Fed rate cut market consensus","prompt":"What do prediction markets on Polymarket currently say about the probability of a Fed rate cut in Q1 2025? Show me the orderbook sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals indicating whether large traders are positioned for or against the outcome.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API downtime or rate limiting causing stale or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple markets — may return unexpected market","x402 payment failure if USDC balance is insufficient, blocking the request","Very niche or newly-created markets may have low liquidity and unreliable probability data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for specific events — especially macro, crypto, or AI-related outcomes — and want both the implied odds and large-trader sentiment in a single call. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you need quantified probability from a liquid prediction market rather than qualitative opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:31:06.673Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-3dbe38ae"}