{"uid":"cap_S5LZ95C5tan6CDiFFwClM","slug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1852e4ea","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_heB2JzgsgojpVamCAJaWR","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for a Fed rate cut happening before the end of 2025 — including current volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for Ethereum spot ETF approval — I want the implied Yes probability, trading volume, and whether whales are leaning Yes or No."},{"title":"Election outcome market monitor","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket prediction market probabilities for the 2026 US midterm elections flipping the Senate? Show me the Yes/No odds and current market volume."},{"title":"Macro risk sentiment gauge","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the implied probability of a US recession being declared in 2025 — I need the live orderbook odds and any whale sentiment data."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for the relevant prediction market event.","failureModes":["Topic keyword does not match any active Polymarket market — returns empty or no-match result","Polymarket data feed is temporarily unavailable — service may return error or stale data","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or the most prominent match","Payment not completed (HTTP 402) — endpoint requires $0.015 USDC per call via x402 protocol","Rate limiting or abuse detection may return 429 or access denial"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-wisdom probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket's live orderbooks. Prefer it over static news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by actual money. Especially useful when tracking rapidly evolving events where consensus shifts quickly, or when you want to detect whale positioning as a leading signal.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:53.617Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ad90764f"}