{"uid":"cap_RwVevdx6XeAN3-sLg5bxt","slug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-4ff073d9","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"limit":{"type":"integer","default":20,"maximum":100,"minimum":1,"description":"Maximum number of items to return per page (1-100)"},"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"},"cursor":{"type":"string","description":"Opaque pagination cursor for fetching the next page"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_n6gnht89LtInuSxtM4CZV","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the US Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the probability that Ethereum will flip Bitcoin in market cap this year? Give me the Yes/No odds and trading volume."},{"title":"Election outcome odds lookup","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket prediction market odds for the next US presidential election — I want implied probabilities, orderbook data, and any whale activity."},{"title":"AI regulation event monitoring","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds that the EU AI Act enforcement causes a major AI company to pause EU operations this quarter? Include the implied probability and current market volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities as percentages, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the queried event or topic keyword. May include multiple matching markets ranked by relevance.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty results or low-confidence match","Polymarket API or data source temporarily unavailable — upstream timeout or 5xx error","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple unrelated markets — results may include irrelevant markets","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — x402 micropayment required before data is returned","Rate limiting if query volume exceeds thresholds"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's live orderbooks. Prefer this over news or LLM-based estimates when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money and whale activity. Ideal for agents doing event-driven trading research, geopolitical risk assessment, or probability-weighted decision making.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:23.608Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-375efa4d"}