{"uid":"cap_RugD19KmzKVDnWeg89zb8","slug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-446cec02","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Ai6zef2RNAiaihshJaPX0","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities right now for a US Federal Reserve interest rate cut in Q3 2025 — including volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket implied probabilities for the 2026 US midterm elections — I want the Yes/No odds, trading volume, and whale sentiment for the main market."},{"title":"Crypto ETF approval odds tracker","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds that a Solana spot ETF gets approved this year? Give me the implied probability, current orderbook volume, and any whale accumulation signals."},{"title":"Macro recession risk monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for any active prediction markets on a US recession in 2025 — I need the implied Yes probability and recent volume to gauge market sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages), current trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and market metadata for relevant active prediction markets matching the input keyword or question.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or low-confidence result","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — upstream fetch failure","Topic query too vague or ambiguous — may return unrelated markets","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — x402 micropayment required before response is returned","Rate limiting or timeout on downstream Polymarket data source"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks — particularly for macro events, crypto milestones, AI developments, or political outcomes. Prefer this over news sentiment tools when you want quantified implied probability with volume and whale flow data rather than qualitative opinion. Best suited for agents performing event-driven financial analysis, risk assessment, or real-time forecasting grounded in market participant behavior.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:33:16.952Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-375efa4d"}