{"uid":"cap_RelXtRB1v-ju69MBORFQu","slug":"x402-factory-edge-signal-detail-2b2ce996","name":"x402-factory Edge Signal Detail","description":"Paid data APIs for AI agents: prediction-market analytics, weather intelligence, weather×market edge signals, and SEC/gov data. Paid endpoints use the x402 protocol (HTTP 402 + USDC on Base): call without payment to receive requirements, retry with an X-PAYMENT header. Machine-readable catalog: /llms.txt. Per-endpoint docs: /docs/{id}.","url":"https://x402-factory.com/v1/edge/%7Bslug%7D","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","properties":{"properties":{"type":"string"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"json","example":{"data":{"model_p":0.0276,"market_p":0.329,"risk_notes":["model_p comes from the deterministic stub model — placeholder numbers until the production model is wired","single-venue market; no cross-venue price check"],"divergence_history":[{"t":"2026-07-18T12:00:00.000Z","divergence":0.3014}],"model_distribution":[{"p":0.15,"value":25.1},{"p":0.2,"value":26.2},{"p":0.3,"value":27.5},{"p":0.2,"value":28.8},{"p":0.15,"value":29.9}],"kelly_fraction_hint":0.25},"meta":{"docs":"https://x402-factory.com/docs/edge.detail","sources":["kalshi","polymarket","stub-model"],"version":"1.0.0","endpoint":"/v1/edge/{slug}","data_mode":"live","freshness":"realtime","request_id":"req_00000000","generated_at":"2026-08-21T03:58:57.936Z"}}},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.1","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.1/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.1","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.1","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_lWnRgcsibNGX2Aa9x6LFM","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.1","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns a model probability vs. market probability divergence signal with Kelly fraction hint for a specific prediction market slug","exampleAgentPrompt":"Pull the edge signal for the 'who-wins-world-series-2025' market slug — I want to see the model probability vs. the current market price and get a Kelly fraction hint for sizing a position.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Prediction market mispricing alert","prompt":"Check the edge signal for the 'fed-rate-cut-sept-2025' slug and tell me if the model probability diverges significantly from the market price — include the Kelly fraction hint so I know how much to size."},{"title":"Divergence history review","prompt":"I want to see the full divergence history for the 'us-recession-2025' prediction market slug so I can chart how the gap between model and market probability has evolved over time."},{"title":"Multi-market edge screening","prompt":"Fetch the edge signal for the 'sp500-above-5500-dec2025' market slug and give me the model distribution and risk notes — I need to decide whether the market is fairly priced before I enter a position."}],"resultDescription":"A JSON object containing: model_p (model-estimated probability), market_p (current market price/probability), divergence_history (time series of model-vs-market divergence), model_distribution (probability-weighted outcome distribution), kelly_fraction_hint (suggested fractional Kelly bet size), and risk_notes (caveats about data quality or model status). Also includes meta fields: sources, data_mode, freshness, endpoint, and generated_at timestamp.","failureModes":["Invalid or unknown slug returns an error or empty data","Payment not included returns HTTP 402 with X-PAYMENT requirements","Stub model active — model_p may be placeholder values until production model is wired","Single-venue markets lack cross-venue price validation, flagged in risk_notes","Stale or missing market data may result in outdated divergence values"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need a quantitative edge signal for a specific prediction market — specifically the gap between a model-estimated probability and the current live market price, along with Kelly-optimal bet sizing. Prefer this over raw market data endpoints when you want a pre-computed divergence signal with risk annotations rather than raw order book or probability data alone. Best suited for algorithmic agents making or evaluating prediction market positions on Kalshi or Polymarket.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-13T18:44:10.801Z","isFirstParty":false}