{"uid":"cap_RDlOtQUgPTvKJMx4gLD5_","slug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-6bfd396f","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_LTl1n76FoDg_xSQa-CzGG","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025'? Include volume and any whale sentiment signals.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that the US enters a recession this year? Show me the Yes/No odds and recent volume."},{"title":"Crypto milestone market odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook for 'Will Bitcoin reach $150k by end of 2025' — I want to see the implied probability and whether whales are leaning Yes or No."},{"title":"AI event prediction monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active markets related to 'GPT-5 release' or major AI announcements and give me the current implied probabilities and sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, total market volume, and whale sentiment signals for macro, crypto, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return multiple or incorrect markets","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — endpoint may return 503 or timeout","Payment not completed via x402 — returns HTTP 402 Payment Required","Stale or low-liquidity market — orderbook may show wide spreads and low volume with unreliable probabilities"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced implied probabilities from Polymarket for macro, crypto, or AI events — especially when you want orderbook depth, volume context, and whale sentiment rather than just a headline probability. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you want market-priced belief, not editorial opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:27.511Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f374aea4"}