{"uid":"cap_QlIO4K3h2Duojlu97C1jw","slug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-632f56b5","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed)","url":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_1OvXttluymDgL7m7t3OuP","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI prediction market topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — include volume and whale sentiment if available.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for 'Will Bitcoin hit $100k by end of 2025?' and tell me the implied Yes probability and current trading volume."},{"title":"Macro policy market monitoring","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a US recession this year? Give me the Yes/No odds and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"AI milestone prediction tracking","prompt":"Check the live Polymarket orderbook for any markets related to GPT-5 or AGI announcements and show me the implied probabilities and sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, market volume, and whale sentiment signals for macro, crypto, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Stale or delayed orderbook data if Polymarket API is rate-limited or temporarily unavailable","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple unrelated markets — may return mixed or irrelevant results","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient — returns 402 Payment Required","Network timeout if Polymarket upstream is slow — endpoint may return partial data or error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by actual money and orderbook depth, or when you need whale trading sentiment as a signal.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:15.248Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-3dbe38ae"}