{"uid":"cap_Qa3jn2Qy9AWS11zrCOYVM","slug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-f291f1ab","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_jgqoeDR1CAedKb1gALNqi","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given event topic or keyword","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied yes/no probability for Bitcoin hitting $100k by end of year — including current volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability tracking","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds for the 2024 US presidential election — give me the implied yes/no probabilities and any notable whale activity?"},{"title":"Crypto event market sentiment check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds for an Ethereum ETF approval, including current volume and whether big players are leaning yes or no."},{"title":"Macro risk probability lookup","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a US recession in 2025 — I want the implied odds, volume, and whale sentiment signal."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for macro, crypto, political, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API upstream unavailable — returns a service error","Overly vague topic yields multiple ambiguous markets with low confidence matching","Payment not included — returns HTTP 402 payment required","Rate limiting or abuse detection may return 429 or 403"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market — especially for political elections, crypto milestones, macroeconomic events, or AI announcements. Prefer this over static news or LLM-generated forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by actual money and orderbook depth, or when you need whale sentiment signals in addition to raw odds.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:00.058Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-e22ddf45"}