{"uid":"cap_Q_VDEFYf_Tt2oam4AqLOr","slug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-115e67b7","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_gtPzwngtlymfKWw7v_W1s","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied probability for the US entering a recession in 2025 — including volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the live Polymarket probability that Ethereum gets a spot ETF approved this year? Show me the Yes/No odds and trading volume."},{"title":"Geopolitical conflict odds lookup","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds on whether there will be a ceasefire in the Ukraine-Russia conflict before the end of 2025 — I want the implied probabilities and whale sentiment."},{"title":"Fed monetary policy market odds","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for markets on the Fed cutting interest rates in September — what are the live Yes/No probabilities and how much volume is behind it?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages), 24h trading volume, whale sentiment signals, and relevant market metadata for the queried prediction market topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API unavailability causing stale or missing orderbook data","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple unrelated markets","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) blocking the response","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion returning an error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events backed by actual money at stake on Polymarket. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities with volume signals and whale activity. Best suited for agents doing event-driven research, risk assessment, or trading intelligence where prediction market consensus is more actionable than opinion-based sources.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:51:30.128Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f374aea4"}