{"uid":"cap_QOBq_EKv_lZiKQbBXBX-M","slug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-91ec9db2","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_szd687oOGrgpHpwtBElS3","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given prediction market topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now on whether the Fed will cut rates in September — show me the implied Yes and No probabilities and any whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds on who wins the 2024 US presidential election — I want to see the implied Yes/No probabilities and trading volume for the top candidates."},{"title":"Crypto event market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the odds of a spot Bitcoin ETF being approved this year? Show me the orderbook-implied probability and any whale sentiment."},{"title":"Macro policy prediction tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the live implied probability that the Fed cuts interest rates at the next FOMC meeting — I want the Yes probability and recent volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), trading volume, whale sentiment signals, and relevant market metadata for macro, crypto, political, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["Unknown or ambiguous topic keyword returns empty or no matching market results","Polymarket API unavailability causes upstream fetch failure","Very niche topics may return low-volume or illiquid markets with unreliable probability signals","Payment not processed (x402) results in 402 Payment Required response","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion returns a 429 Too Many Requests error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probabilistic forecasts for macro, political, crypto, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket orderbooks. It is ideal over static news summaries when you want market-implied probability with volume and whale sentiment context rather than editorial opinion. Best for agents that need to ground decisions in live prediction market data.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:48:34.807Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-35a65946"}