{"uid":"cap_Q7cLkCLBn656xdUFwR3LI","slug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-b4a723ea","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_vANh-OoQ1_Lupl4DvjcGx","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability right now for the Fed cutting interest rates in 2025 — and is whale sentiment bullish or bearish on it?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Fed policy decision probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that the Fed cuts rates at least once before the end of 2025? Show me the Yes/No odds and any whale activity."},{"title":"Crypto event market sentiment","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook and whale sentiment for Bitcoin hitting $100K this year — what are traders currently pricing in?"},{"title":"AI regulation event odds","prompt":"What are the Polymarket prediction market odds right now that the US passes major AI regulation legislation in 2025? I want the implied probability and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple unrelated markets — may return unexpected market","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient","Rate limiting or timeout if Polymarket upstream is slow"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from active prediction market participants on macro, crypto, political, or AI events. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money. Best for time-sensitive decisions where live orderbook data and whale positioning provide edge over static probability estimates.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:26:17.837Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-3dbe38ae"}