{"uid":"cap_Q3Je91iTCB5VZEC1hvQ9D","slug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-fa9a83fe","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed)","url":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_lGpCDIa8mSuSvjNGDpwAy","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live implied Yes/No probabilities, orderbook data, volume, and whale sentiment from Polymarket prediction markets for any macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket live odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut happening this year — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probability that Ethereum hits $5,000 before the end of this year? Include trading volume and any whale sentiment you can find."},{"title":"Macro policy market sentiment","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket prediction market odds on whether the Fed will cut rates at the next FOMC meeting — I want to see the Yes/No probabilities and overall market volume."},{"title":"AI regulation odds lookup","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a major US AI regulation bill passing this year? Give me the implied odds, volume, and whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, total trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried event topic or market question.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague — no matching Polymarket market found","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — stale or empty response","Market has resolved or expired — no live orderbook data returned","Payment not processed correctly — HTTP 402 returned without data","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — results may include unintended markets"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market for macro events, crypto milestones, AI policy, or geopolitical outcomes — especially when you want orderbook depth and whale sentiment alongside raw odds. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when quantified market-implied probability is needed.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:35:14.218Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5eb33d8e"}