{"uid":"cap_Pkn9SnxdFDjVHZ1Snyz_2","slug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-a55bbc77","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_cM8ahyU_ysz_xDQmeKvcw","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro/crypto/AI event topic","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025'? Include volume and whale sentiment.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for the next US presidential election — I want the implied Yes/No probabilities, total volume, and any notable whale positioning."},{"title":"Crypto price event market odds","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of Bitcoin hitting $100k before year end? Give me the live orderbook odds and trading volume."},{"title":"Macro Fed rate decision sentiment","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the odds on the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting — I want Yes/No implied probabilities and whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes and No probabilities, 24h trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the queried prediction market topic or event keyword","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague or not matching any active Polymarket market — returns empty or no results","Polymarket API downtime or rate limiting causing stale or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic matching multiple markets — may return aggregate or first-match results","Payment not processed correctly via x402, resulting in 402 error before data is returned"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events directly from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks, including volume and whale sentiment context. Prefer this over generic news or sentiment APIs when you specifically need quantified probability odds derived from actual money-backed market positions.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:48:18.746Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8cd613ff"}