{"uid":"cap_PgF_u_layqwqwByFP_WuD","slug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-88d7e5c1","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-odds)","url":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_3kI8JIO5I7Nh-h9rntyoI","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for a Bitcoin ETF approval, including current volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket implied probabilities for Ethereum crossing $10,000 this year — I want to see the Yes/No odds and how much volume is on that market."},{"title":"Macro Fed rate cut odds","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds that the Fed cuts interest rates at the next FOMC meeting? Give me the implied probability and any whale sentiment you can see."},{"title":"AI regulation market monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for any prediction markets around the EU AI Act enforcement — I want to know the current Yes/No probabilities and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live orderbook data from Polymarket for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages), current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for macro, crypto, and AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream timeout or 5xx error","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — may return the most relevant or all matches","Payment not processed (x402 flow failure) — endpoint returns 402 with payment details","Stale data if Polymarket orderbook has low liquidity or the market has resolved"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events sourced from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you want a quantified, market-based implied probability backed by real money. It is especially useful for agents doing risk assessment, scenario planning, or trading strategy that requires live prediction market intelligence.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T06:39:53.233Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f374aea4"}