{"uid":"cap_PV5gy9rH5ODknIkWUrk9y","slug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-bb38c6ae","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_xLNJPNMLVtLHoMH98BEVC","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for whether the Fed will cut interest rates at its next meeting? I want to see volume and any whale sentiment too.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability tracking","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds for each candidate winning the 2024 US presidential election, including implied probabilities and how much volume is behind these markets?"},{"title":"Crypto event prediction market check","prompt":"Pull up the live Polymarket orderbook for Bitcoin ETF approval — I want to see the Yes/No implied probabilities and whether any whale wallets are taking big positions."},{"title":"AI policy regulation sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently think about the probability of major AI regulation passing in the US this year? Show me the implied odds and recent trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns structured Polymarket prediction market data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities derived from the live orderbook, total trading volume, and whale/large-wallet sentiment signals. This enables agents to gauge crowd-sourced probabilistic expectations for macro, political, crypto, and AI events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — may return stale or error response","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — response may include multiple markets requiring disambiguation","Payment failure via x402 protocol — endpoint returns 402 if USDC micropayment not completed","Rate limiting or quota exceeded — endpoint returns 429 or error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probabilistic signals for macro, political, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market. Prefer this over news sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities with actual money at stake (rather than social sentiment), or when you need orderbook depth and whale positioning data. Best suited for AI agents that need to incorporate prediction market odds into trading, research, or decision-support workflows.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:24:17.074Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5eb33d8e"}