{"uid":"cap_PEG_zXCq4mOk8sLaF3tlj","slug":"polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-probability-feed-42c8334c","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402broker.com/v1/market-odds)","url":"https://x402broker.com/v1/market-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"unknown","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":null,"per":"call","confidence":"unknown"},{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_kC2KsQ3TQpA35Jm6F5_ED","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null},{"uid":"pm_d9e7T8u9Yff_E2kdDuBiz","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for a Fed rate cut happening this month, including whale sentiment and trading volume?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event odds tracking","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket implied probabilities and whale sentiment for Bitcoin hitting $100k by end of year — I want to see the live orderbook data and volume."},{"title":"Election prediction market check","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and Yes/No implied probabilities for the next US presidential election outcome? Include trading volume and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"AI regulation market monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for any active prediction markets around AI regulation or government AI policy — I want the current implied probabilities and volume for those events."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current bid/ask spread, total trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","failureModes":["No active Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null result","Topic query too vague to match a specific market","Polymarket API upstream outage causing stale or unavailable data","Rate limiting or payment failure at the x402 layer"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market. Prefer this over traditional news or sentiment APIs when you want a financially-backed probability signal rather than narrative sentiment, and when you specifically need orderbook depth, implied Yes/No probabilities, or whale activity on a specific event.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-20T12:46:25.382Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-probability-feed-42c8334c"}